Well, Week 1 went mostly according to plan. I won with the Colts/Saints Under, Green Bay, and Arizona after the line jumped to +3.5. I lost on Denver, St. Louis, and the Jets, but I also went 6-0 in my lean plays, and got a push on the Dolphins game. Since I played Arizona for 4 units this past week, I’m up a little bit on the year. I have never got such a fantastic 먹튀 in my play before now!
This week, I’m looking at some of these lines and I’m seeing a number of good plays. Lots of double digit underdogs, and that’s always been a favorite of mine, although I’m not sure that there are that many decent plays in those games.
Let’s start with picking San Francisco to cover and probably win against the Rams. St. Louis lost the captain of their O-line last week against Carolina and looked very winded the second half of the game. They’re not in great shape, and despite having what should be one of the premier offenses in the NFL, their first team offense has only had 13 points in game one and the entire preseason. San Fransisco’s offense might not be great, but their defense is much improved, shown by the incredible coverage they had on the Cardinals receivers this past week. They should be able to extend that coverage to this game and take a lot of St. Louis’s weapons out of the game. And, as we all know, anyone can score on St. Louis’s pathetic excuse for a defense. This one should be easy. I’ll take San Fransisco at +3.5 for three units.
The New York Giants played valiantly last week and managed to put some points on the board, but that game cost them a lot of players, including their starting running back and quarterback. Their Defense was shredded last week by the Cowboys, but the Packers didn’t score an offensive touchdown last week. The Green Bay defense is very strong, and I have difficulty imagining this game going over. I also like the Packers to pull it out. I’ll play one unit on the Packers at +1, and one unit on Under 37.5
I like the Arizona Cardinals again this week, despite a fairly poor showing in San Fransisco. They had no passing game against a solid 49ers defense, and Seattle’s Defense should prove to be pretty easy to exploit. For the first time in a long time, the Cardinals seem to have an offensive line that can protect the quarterback, and quite honestly, I was impressed by how well the defense played. Seattle does have some upside, but I think this matchup may be more difficult than they are preparing for, especially with a tough schedule of Cincinnati, San Fransisco, Pittsburgh, New Orleans, and St.Louis coming up next. This could be a great letdown spot. Lets take the Cards at +3 for one unit, but bet late in the week in case the spread goes higher.
New Orleans and Dallas look a little too easy with their respective small spreads, so I’ll pass on those, suspecting a trap game. I like Pittsburgh, but 10 points is a lot, especially against a team that played pretty well last week. In this week’s feature matchup, I’ll take the Chargers with 4 points, but I’m not going to bet it. I might make a play on Atlanta getting 10.5 points, which would be more of a play against Jacksonville than for the Falcons. I would also consider a play on the Redskins if the spread goes higher than +7 in their favor.